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Oil prices have fluctuated wildly as traders weighed the delayed US tariffs on Mexican imports against the prospect of sanctions on Russian and Iranian oil flows. The uncertainty surrounding these developments has led to a narrowing of WTI's prompt spread, indicating potentially looser market conditions. Meanwhile, OPEC+ plans to revive idled production in April have added bearish headwinds to the market.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has secured a temporary tariff reprieve from the United States, thanks to an "excellent and respectful" phone call with US President Donald Trump. The two leaders agreed that their countries would work together on security and migration issues, with Mexico promising to tackle the arrival of illicit opioids and guns. Trump's announcement allows for tariff-free imports under the USMCA trade deal until April 2.

President Trump has announced a temporary delay on tariffs for Mexican goods compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), amidst rising fears of a trade war that could hinder global economic growth. The decision comes as investors express concern over increasing corporate bond premiums and a potential slowdown in borrowing costs due to heightened market volatility. Meanwhile, trade tensions continue to escalate, with Canada and Mexico considering their responses to U.S. tariff policies that threaten their economies.

Several lifesaving health projects that recently faced abrupt termination of U.S. funding contracts have received reversal letters, although actual funding has yet to resume. Aid organizations express cautious optimism regarding the reversals, yet the lack of financial clarity hampers their ability to effectively resume critical services. The ongoing confusion stems from the Trump administration's review process, which has halted operations and jeopardized vital health programs across the globe.

Switzerland has cancelled a conference on the application of the Geneva Conventions to the occupied Palestinian territories due to lack of participants, four diplomatic sources have confirmed. The conference was intended to address the Fourth Geneva Convention and provide humanitarian protections for civilians living in areas of armed conflict or occupation. The cancellation is seen as a significant development in the ongoing efforts to address the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The cancellation of Ontario's $100 million Starlink deal by Premier Doug Ford is a significant setback for SpaceX, following Italy's decision to reconsider its $1.6 billion contract due to the White House's shift in NATO and European security commitments. The Trump administration's policy changes have caught many allies off guard, leading to re-evaluation of partnerships with companies like SpaceX. Ontario's move may be a small but instructive example of how US tariffs can impact international business.

Sudan has filed a case against the United Arab Emirates at the World Court for allegedly violating its obligations under the Genocide Convention by arming the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. The charges are in connection with intense ethnic-based attacks by the RSF and allied Arab militias against the non-Arab Masalit tribe in 2023. Sudan is asking the court to impose emergency measures and to order the Emirates to prevent such genocidal acts, which could determine if a genocide had been committed in Darfur.

US stocks fell but pared steeper losses on Thursday after Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted that more temporary exemptions are likely within the Trump administration's current 25% tariff policy on Canada and Mexico. Investors continue to grapple with Trump's shifting tariff policy and worries about the economy. The major averages opened lower on Thursday as investors assessed the impact of President Trump's tariff policies and a disappointing sales outlook from Marvell (MRVL) weighed on tech stocks.

iFlyTek, a Chinese artificial intelligence firm, is planning to expand its European business as trade tensions rise between the United States and China. The company aims to diversify its supply chain to reduce any impact from tariffs while working to expand its business in countries such as France, Hungary, Spain, and Italy. iFlyTek's expansion plans come after it was placed on a U.S. trade blacklist in 2019, barring the company from buying components from U.S. companies without Washington's approval.

Negotiations to resume oil exports from Iraqi Kurdistan to Turkey have once again failed, primarily due to disagreements over pricing and payment terms, marking the second unsuccessful attempt within a week. The involvement of a U.S. diplomat in the discussions highlights Washington's urgent interest in resolving the stalemate, which is partly driven by broader geopolitical pressures, including sanctions on Iran. As the Iraqi government navigates these complex negotiations, the potential for further economic ramifications looms large, impacting both regional stability and global oil prices.

Russian prosecutors have filed a lawsuit against the U.S. owner of canned food maker Glavprodukt, which was seized by Moscow in October, accusing him of illegally withdrawing around $15.5 million from Russia over the last two years. The General Prosecutor's lawsuit was filed on March 5 and contained no details beyond naming the defendants as Smirnov, who is a U.S. citizen, Universal Beverages and other companies. Glavprodukt is a subsidiary of Universal Beverages, which is owned by Smirnov.

The US trade deficit widened to a record in January as companies scrambled to secure goods from overseas before President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on America’s largest trading partners, resulting in a significant increase in imports and a widening gap in the goods and services trade. The gap in goods and services trade widened 34% from the prior month to $131.4 billion, with imports rising 10% to a record $401.2 billion and exports increasing only 1.2%. This surge in imports may have implications for the country's economic growth and production capacity.

Valerii Zaluzhnyi's comments come amid an apparent cooling of tensions between Kyiv and Washington. The Ukrainian envoy has expressed discontent over the US's actions, stating that the White House is "questioning the unity of the whole Western world". His remarks at a conference suggest that there remains tension surrounding the US's change in posture towards Russia.

Eutelsat's shares have surged nearly 650% over four days, driven by a rally reminiscent of the Gamestop phenomenon, largely fueled by retail traders targeting this heavily shorted stock. The surge in stock price has been linked to speculation that Eutelsat could replace Starlink in providing internet access to Ukraine, igniting a fresh wave of investor interest. Despite this meteoric rise, analysts caution that the fundamental challenges facing Eutelsat remain, including significant investment needs and a recent downgrade in its credit rating.

US stock futures are declining as investors react to disappointing earnings from major companies like Marvell and Macy's, coupled with ongoing uncertainties surrounding President Trump's tariff policies. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq are all experiencing downward pressure, particularly in the tech sector, where concerns about AI growth are exacerbated by a recent influx of cheaper Chinese AI models. As the market grapples with these challenges, a crucial jobs report looms, raising questions about the broader economic outlook.

A man accused of aiding the Kabul airport bombing has been charged in a US court, with Mohammad Sharifullah facing a maximum penalty of life in prison for providing support to a foreign terrorist organization that resulted in death. The charges were announced amid intense criticism of then-President Joe Biden following the attack that killed at least 170 Afghans and 13 US service members. Sharifullah's arrest was welcomed by some US officials, including Attorney General Pamela Bondi, who praised President Trump for his leadership.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) continues to assert its dominance in the semiconductor industry, leveraging its position to attract investment despite geopolitical tensions. The company has committed $100 billion to U.S. manufacturing and R&D, enhancing its global supply-chain security while catering to its American clientele, including major tech firms. As TSMC diversifies its operations beyond Taiwan, it not only mitigates risks but also fosters closer collaboration with U.S. partners, positioning itself favorably for future growth.

The latest shipment of diesel from Russia to Syria via a tanker under U.S. sanctions marks the first direct supply to the Middle Eastern country in over a decade, highlighting the complex web of international relations and sanctions in place. The delivery is set to bolster Russia's military presence in Syria, where it has two main installations that are under threat following the sudden fall of Bashar al-Assad last year. As U.S. sanctions on Russia aim to limit revenues from its oil and gas industry, this shipment raises questions about the effectiveness of these measures.

Ukrainian opposition leaders have dismissed the idea of holding a wartime election, after a media report of contacts between them and U.S. officials and in the wake of President Donald Trump calling his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelenskiy a "dictator" for not holding one. The opposition leaders believe that elections should only take place after peace has been established, with Yuliia Tymoshenko stating that elections should not happen before a just peace is secured. Despite the proposal from Trump to hold wartime elections, Ukrainian President Zelenskiy remains committed to offering to vacate his post in exchange for peace and NATO membership.

Eutelsat's shares have experienced an astounding increase of nearly 650% over four days, largely attributed to retail traders engaging in a short squeeze reminiscent of the Gamestop phenomenon. The surge in stock price has been driven by speculation that Eutelsat could potentially replace Elon Musk's Starlink in providing internet access to Ukraine, following geopolitical tensions. Analysts suggest that this rally reflects not only the influence of retail investors but also a reaction to broader shifts in global politics, emphasizing the volatility of the market.

Syria received a new shipment of its local currency printed in Russia on Wednesday, marking a new sign of improving ties between Moscow and Syria's new rulers. The cash arrival is expected to be followed by further shipments, with the Syrian government official stating that more deliveries were anticipated in the future. The development comes as Damascus' previous contract with a subsidiary of the Austrian central bank was terminated due to European sanctions.

Turkey, with its second largest army in NATO after the United States, could contribute to a potential peacekeeping mission in Ukraine, a Turkish defence ministry source said on Wednesday. The source stated that discussions on a Turkish deployment remained conceptual and emphasized that initial deployments would involve non-combatant units to monitor a ceasefire. Turkey has maintained cordial relations with both Russia and Ukraine throughout their war, though it is historically a rival of Moscow.

A defence spending surge could provide an initial boost to Europe's sluggish economy, but its long-term impact is uncertain and dependent on various factors. The surge in funding may stimulate the region's ailing industry and technological base, particularly if governments invest in domestic production and research and innovation. However, the benefits are likely to be limited by the complex nature of defence projects and the fragmentation of Europe's defence industries.

The Trump administration is set to revoke temporary legal status for approximately 240,000 Ukrainians who escaped the conflict with Russia, potentially leading to expedited deportation for these individuals. This decision represents a significant shift from the protections offered under the Biden administration and is part of a broader initiative to dismantle various humanitarian parole programs. As a result, many migrants, including Ukrainians and Afghan allies, now face increasing uncertainty regarding their legal standing and future in the United States.

The Trump administration is considering a plan to stop and inspect Iranian oil tankers at sea under an international accord aimed at countering the spread of weapons of mass destruction, potentially delaying delivery of crude to refiners and exposing parties involved in facilitating the trade to reputational damage and sanctions. The move could have significant implications for Iran's economy, which relies heavily on oil exports for revenue. If successful, the plan could also set a precedent for other countries to take similar action against Iranian oil shipments.

The Trump administration's plan to revoke the legal status of some 240,000 Ukrainians who fled to the U.S. during the war has sparked controversy and raised concerns about the treatment of asylum seekers. The White House's decision to pause intelligence sharing with Kyiv has also added to tensions between Washington and Moscow. Meanwhile, Mexico's judicial elections have been dominated by cartel influence, raising questions about the independence of the judiciary.

Norway aims to boost financial aid to Ukraine significantly and also raise its own defence spending at a time of heightened global uncertainty, Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere of the ruling Labour Party told parliament on Thursday. The country has seen soaring income from gas sales to Europe as a result of Russia's 2022 Ukraine invasion, and faces pressure at home and abroad to boost its aid. Norway has already agreed to spend 35 billion crowns ($3.22 billion) on military and civilian support for Ukraine in 2025.

German lawmakers are set to debate a 500-billion-euro infrastructure fund and significant changes to state borrowing rules aimed at boosting defense spending and economic growth, with votes scheduled before the formation of a new parliament. The proposed reforms reflect a dramatic shift from Germany's traditional fiscal conservatism, driven by increasing geopolitical tensions and a perceived need for improved national security. However, these measures face potential roadblocks from far-right and radical-left factions that may gain more influence in the newly elected parliament.

NATO's newest member Sweden plans to contribute fighter jets to the defence alliance's air policing in Poland, Foreign Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard said on Thursday. A Swedish government proposal aims to participate in NATO air policing and protect logistics operations for support to Ukraine in Poland. This move marks a significant step forward in strengthening Sweden's military ties with NATO.

French President Emmanuel Macron's speech calling Russia a threat to Europe and suggesting Paris would consider putting other countries under its nuclear protection has been condemned by the Kremlin as highly confrontational. The Russian government accused Macron of omitting important facts and failing to acknowledge Russia's legitimate concerns about NATO's eastwards expansion towards its borders. Macron also proposed extending France's nuclear arsenal protection to other European countries, which was seen as a "claim to nuclear leadership in Europe" by the Kremlin.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has aligned himself with Russian President Vladimir Putin in his assessment of the Ukraine conflict, with both viewing it as a proxy war between the United States and Russia. The Kremlin's endorsement of Rubio's views suggests a significant shift in the U.S. approach to the conflict, potentially underscoring Moscow's efforts to isolate Washington internationally. However, the implications of this alignment remain unclear, particularly for Ukraine and the European Union.

The US city of Scranton, Pennsylvania, has played a small but significant role in supporting Ukraine during the ongoing conflict, with its ammunition plant manufacturing artillery rounds for the country's military. However, President Donald Trump's pause on military aid and intelligence sharing for Ukraine has left the war-torn country's residents uncertain about their futures, and rattled America's European allies. The Scranton Army Artillery Plant, which produces large-calibre metal projectiles, is facing an uncertain future as its role in geopolitics could be winding down.

The euro has surged to a four-month high against the U.S. dollar on optimism over Germany's infrastructure plan and debt overhaul, setting for its best week in 16 years, as investors anticipate a quarter-point rate cut from the European Central Bank later in the day. The currency has gained 4.1% so far this week, driven by hopes of easing monetary policy, but analysts caution that concerns about eurozone fragmentation may cap gains. German yields have rallied, while French and Italian yields have also increased, raising sustainability issues for these countries.

Turkey's armed forces have killed 26 Kurdish militants in Iraq and Syria in the week since jailed militant leader Abdullah Ocalan's disarmament call, despite his efforts to end the violence. The PKK militants declared an immediate ceasefire, but Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan warned that Ankara would continue operations against the group if its promises were not kept. The situation remains tense, with tensions between Turkey and Kurdish militant groups still simmering.

The U.S. trade tariffs targeting China, Mexico, and Canada have exposed Asian countries to increased risk due to their high export-to-GDP ratios with the United States. Countries such as Vietnam, Taiwan, and Thailand are particularly vulnerable to the impact of these tariffs, which could lead to delays and disruptions in global supply chains. The escalating trade tensions also pose a significant threat to the economic stability of nations with large trade surpluses with the U.S.

The European Central Bank's recent payment crisis could have had catastrophic consequences if not resolved quickly. The root cause of the issue was identified after hours of work by technicians, who eventually fixed the problem to prevent widespread disruptions. Fortunately, the system's backup mechanisms kicked in just in time to avoid a major disaster.

European automakers experienced a surge in their stock prices following U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to suspend new tariffs on car imports from Canada and Mexico for one month. Stellantis, the parent company of Chrysler and Fiat, expressed its commitment to increasing American-made vehicle production in response to the tariff reprieve, aligning with the administration's "America First" policy. However, analysts warn that ongoing supply chain challenges and the potential for future tariffs could lead to increased costs for consumers and significant revenue loss for automakers.

France is offering intelligence to Ukraine, Defence Minister Sebastien Lecornu said on Thursday, a day after Washington said it was suspending intelligence sharing with Kyiv. This move reflects France's efforts to maintain pressure on Ukraine and its President Volodymyr Zelenskiy amidst the ongoing conflict. The decision also highlights the evolving nature of international relations between European powers and their respective roles in global security.

Hamas's repeated criticism of US President Trump's threats against Palestinians is seen as a tacit endorsement of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's decision to abandon the Gaza ceasefire. Trump's aggressive rhetoric has put pressure on Hamas to release remaining hostages, thereby allowing Israel to begin negotiations for an end to the war. The ongoing tensions between Israel and Hamas highlight the challenges of implementing a fragile ceasefire agreement in a region marked by deep-seated conflicts.

Alexander Darchiev, 64, a seasoned diplomat with two previous stints as Russia's ambassador to Washington, has been appointed by Vladimir Putin to lead a rapprochement between the two nations. The appointment marks a significant shift in Moscow's diplomatic approach, following President Donald Trump's recent overtures towards Russia and his decision to pause military aid to Ukraine. Darchiev will now work to restore normal relations with Washington, which have been strained since 2020.

China has submitted a revised request for dispute settlement consultations with the United States to address new U.S. tariffs applied on goods originating in China, according to the World Trade Organization. The Trump administration's latest tariff hike has heightened fears of a renewed trade war between the two largest economies. China's revised request comes after an extra 10% duty on Chinese goods took effect Tuesday, adding to the 10% tariff imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump on February 4.

Russian officials have criticized French President Emmanuel Macron's assertion that Russia poses a threat to Europe, warning that such rhetoric could escalate tensions and lead to a catastrophic conflict. The comments follow Macron's call for a debate on extending France's nuclear deterrent to European allies, amidst rising concerns about U.S. policy shifts regarding Ukraine and Russia. Russian leaders argue that Macron's statements reflect a misunderstanding of the geopolitical landscape and could further alienate Europe from a constructive dialogue with Moscow.

Asian stocks rose on Thursday as investors held out hope that trade tensions could ease after U.S. President Donald Trump exempted some automakers from tariffs for a month, while the euro stood tall ahead of the European Central Bank's meeting. Japanese government bonds fell sharply after German long-dated bonds were swept up in their biggest sell-off in decades, while Australian bond yields rose 12 basis points. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10 year Treasury notes rose 5 bps in Asian hours.

U.S. exports of crude oil to India surged to their highest in over two years in February, driven by refiners seeking alternative supplies following tighter U.S. sanctions on Russian producers and tankers. The country's third-biggest oil importer and consumer is now diversifying its crude supplies, particularly light-sweet barrels, as a result. This shift underscores the growing importance of India as a market for U.S. crude exports.

US crude exports to India last month climbed to their highest in over two years, ship tracking data showed, as refiners in the country sought alternative supplies following tighter US sanctions on Russian producers and tankers. The jump in exports to India underscores how multiple rounds of sanctions imposed by Washington on ships and entities dealing with oil from Iran and Russia since October are disrupting trade with major importers of their oil. Indian refiners are trying to diversify their crude supplies, especially light-sweet barrels, as they seek to reduce dependence on Russian oil.

Alpine Eagle's counter-drone system, Sentinel, is being developed to provide a cost-effective solution to the growing threat of drones in modern warfare. The startup's airborne system uses inexpensive, mass-producible technology to establish a symmetry against cheap strike drones, and its modular sensors can integrate various detection methods to identify low-flying drones that evade ground-based systems. By leveraging AI and swarming tactics, Sentinel aims to limit costs and casualties in drone-based operations.

Eight people were injured when bombs dropped by a South Korean Air Force jet landed in a civilian district during military exercises in Pocheon, causing damage to houses and a church. The incident occurred as part of joint live-fire drills with U.S. forces, which have long faced local protests regarding safety and disturbances. The Air Force has expressed regret over the accident while emphasizing the need for heightened military readiness amid regional tensions.

The Thai Chamber of Commerce is urging the government to take swift action in response to uncertainty over US trade policy, proposing the creation of a "war room" to mitigate potential tariffs by the Trump administration. The chamber's vice chair acknowledged that Thailand's panic over US trade policy is justified, given the country's significant reliance on exports to the US market. The Thai government must review its import taxes and increase imports to reduce the trade surplus with Washington, according to the chamber.

US stock futures showed little movement following a day of volatility that ended in a rally, primarily influenced by President Donald Trump's temporary halt on tariffs affecting automakers. Despite this temporary relief, broader market uncertainties loom as the 25% duties on Canadian and Mexican imports remain in effect, with additional tariffs set to take effect soon. The upcoming earnings reports from major retailers will likely provide further insights into how ongoing trade tensions may impact the industry.

Donald Trump is intensifying efforts to cut imports from China, aiming to establish self-sufficiency in key sectors and reduce reliance on the world's second-largest economy. His administration has already imposed significant new tariffs and is targeting backdoor trade routes that companies have utilized to circumvent previous restrictions. This shift signals potential upheaval in global supply chains, particularly for nations like Vietnam that have benefited from the "China plus one" strategy.